Moore’s Law accelerates change. Aging accelerates time.
Hard as it may be for me to believe, the 2010s will be over in less than 5 months.
In technology the last decade has been a Golden Age for clouds and devices. So, too, in business and in politics. The refusal of cloud companies to lock-down their technology elected Donald Trump. The result has been a march toward civil war, global war, trade war, the biggest crisis since the late 1960s.
But you ain’t seen nothing yet.
Moore’s Law of Health means I may live much longer than my parents did, long after history should have rolled over me. At least that’s true in those places where people can afford medical care. The likeliest replacements for Donald Trump are both older than he is. Al Gore is younger than either Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders. We’re still debating Woodstock, 50 years on.
We’re going to start turning the page on the current era in 2020. The hold of the autocrats is weakening. It’s weakening in Russia. It’s weakening in China. It’s weakening in Texas.
Moore’s Law continues marching onward, better and better, faster and faster, reaching further and further afield.
In this decade it has made Africa accessible to global markets, made India as well as China an economic power. Over 1 billion people have entered the middle class this century – they have homes, some material comforts, and they have hope.
What might the next decade bring? If I make it to the end of this decade, I’ll be 75, so this may be my last shot at predicting the future.
But here goes.
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