Dana Blankenhorn

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Wintel (1990-2023): Death of a Monopoly

An era ended this week, as the control over technology Microsoft and Intel held with Microsoft Windows and Intel x86 chips crashed and burned.

From the launch of Windows 3.0 in 1990 to this last week, there was an assumption that Wintel, as the two were called, were where computing happened. No more. OEM sales of Windows fell by a third, and so did Intel’s x86 chip sales.

Client computing has moved from your desktop to the palm of your hand. An iPhone or high-end Android device can cost over $1,000 but you don’t need a manual to use them. They’re intuitive. When they fail, you get another, and all your software follows you from the cloud.

Microsoft was ready for this. They became a Cloud Czar during the 2010s, building a huge network of scaled data centers using open source software and cheap hardware. Intel supplied the cloud, and its data center business beat expectations last quarter, but it was not ready for the change. Its stock fell another 10%, and the company is now worth barely one-fourth the new chip leader, Nvidia.

The Why of the Guns

Guns have replaced drugs as the tool of systemic racism.

When I was young drugs were effective at this. Push drugs on young black people who are unemployed and feeling hopeless. Arrest the black people doing the drugs. Toss them in jail and they’re not only slaves (for the duration of their sentence) but non-voters for life.

It worked.

But as white folk started getting sentenced, and as black families learned better, you needed a new mechanism.

Lax gun laws are the mechanism.

Righteous War

America hasn’t fought many righteous wars.

In the 19^th century the Civil War was righteous. Everything else was conquest. The “winning of the west” was a slow motion genocide. We took the Southwest from Mexico. We took the Philippines and Puerto Rico from Spain. We teach it as democracy, as freedom. It was empire.

World War II was righteous. In retrospect, I’m glad we fought in Korea.

Other than that? We have been involved in more coups, in more places, for worse reasons, than the British Empire ever thought of. Vietnam was not a righteous war. The Gulf War was not a righteous war. Neither was the Iraq War. Afghanistan began as a righteous mission then turned into a distinctly unrighteous war.

Americans have the blood of the world on our hands, and we deny that every day. The difference between the parties is that Republicans do it more systematically.

War of the Cubes

Large tech businesses are forcing employees into a huge hidden pay cut.

They call it “return to the office.” They’re demanding that all people who have worked from home during the pandemic return to their cubes or be fired.

Let’s look at that a moment. (Buy the book.) 

If you’re an hour from work, it takes 2 hours a day to commute. Add in gas, wear on the car. Add in an hour to get ready. Add in the cost of work clothes. Add in lunch. Maybe add in drinks after work.

Now let’s look at it from the employer’s perspective. Add in rent. Add in utilities. Or society’s perspective. Add in wear on roads and other infrastructure costs. Add in fuel.

Finally, let’s talk about hidden costs. When a tech company demands tech workers do their work in offices, what they’re saying is that all the promises they made about tech 5 years ago, that it would improve productivity by letting people work from where they are, were bullshit.

The Other Arms Race

We talk a lot about guns in the US, without doing anything about them.

But there’s another, even more dangerous arms race, going on.

It involves cars.

It’s not just that there are too many of them. They’re too damned big. Spending $60,000 for a pick-up that will never see a trailer hitch, or an SUV higher than an elephant’s eye, is stupid. Especially since these cars are sitting, unused, 90% of the time.

People buy giant cars for the same reason they buy guns. They make you feel safe. They buy as much car as they can afford, like these things are houses.